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60 encrypted positionsWill Emmanuel Macron resign before end of 2026?
Implied probability
65%YES
Closes in
171d 14h 39m65% Yes35% No
Total volume$28,989
These are the market's public odds — the price the crowd is setting in real time. Every individual position behind them stays encrypted on-chain, so no one can see who bet what.
Prediction flow
IndicativePrediction momentum over time. Individual positions stay private.
Trending up60 positions
Recent activity
0 positions · all anonymousNo predictions yet — be the first to take a position.
Resolution & rules
Resolves YES if Emmanuel Macron officially resigns as President of France before January 1, 2027.
Closes
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM
Settlement
Pro-rata payout
Winners split the entire pool, pro-rata to their stake.
Losing positions receive nothing.
If unresolved 7 days after close, the market voids and everyone is refunded.
All positions stay encrypted until the market settles.
Confidentiality enforced on-chain by Zama — privacy by protocol, not by promise.
Take a position
Encrypted on-chainConfidential balance$0.00 USDC
$USDC
To win (at 65% implied)≈ $38.46
Your position stays encrypted end to end. Amount and side are sealed before leaving your device — the contract operates on ciphertext only. No node, indexer, or oracle can read your position. Only your wallet can decrypt it.
Encryption layer warming up…