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Total volume
$1,448,694
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42
Encrypted positions
3,191

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Politics market cover
Politics
Live

Will the UK rejoin the EU single market by 2028?

35% YES
35% Yes65% No
88 positions536d 15h 55m
Science market cover
Science
Live

Will a human-rated commercial space station be operational by 2028?

28% YES
28% Yes72% No
82 positions536d 15h 55m
Politics market cover
Politics
Live

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

73% YES
73% Yes27% No
75 positions536d 15h 54m
Sports market cover
Sports
Live

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026-27 NBA Championship?

48% YES
48% Yes52% No
54 positions352d 15h 54m
Science market cover
Science
Live

Will Apple release an AI chip beating Nvidia H100 performance by 2027?

50% YES
50% Yes50% No
104 positions352d 15h 54m
Sports market cover
Sports
Live

Will Manchester City win the 2026/27 Premier League title?

40% YES
40% Yes60% No
79 positions322d 15h 54m
Crypto market cover
Crypto
Live

Will a major central bank hold Bitcoin on its balance sheet by 2027?

43% YES
43% Yes57% No
25 positions202d 15h 54m
Crypto market cover
Crypto
Live

Will a spot SOL ETF be approved in the US by December 31, 2026?

30% YES
30% Yes70% No
47 positions171d 15h 54m
Crypto market cover
Crypto
Live

Will Bitcoin hit $150,000 before 2027?

42% YES
42% Yes58% No
92 positions171d 15h 54m
Crypto market cover
Crypto
Live

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 in 2026?

29% YES
29% Yes71% No
25 positions171d 15h 54m
Crypto market cover
Crypto
Live

Will Solana flip Ethereum by market cap in 2026?

30% YES
30% Yes70% No
101 positions171d 15h 54m
Crypto market cover
Crypto
Live

Will Bitcoin dominance drop below 40% in 2026?

40% YES
40% Yes60% No
94 positions171d 15h 54m
Crypto market cover
Crypto
Live

Will Coinbase be listed on the S&P 500 by end of 2026?

52% YES
52% Yes48% No
88 positions171d 15h 54m
Crypto market cover
Crypto
Live

Will the total crypto market cap exceed $10 trillion in 2026?

31% YES
31% Yes69% No
45 positions171d 15h 54m
Politics market cover
Politics
Live

Will Donald Trump be impeached before 2027?

65% YES
65% Yes35% No
37 positions171d 15h 54m
Politics market cover
Politics
Live

Will the US-Iran nuclear deal be signed by end of 2026?

42% YES
42% Yes58% No
105 positions171d 15h 54m
Politics market cover
Politics
Live

Will there be a US federal government shutdown in 2026?

47% YES
47% Yes53% No
61 positions171d 15h 54m
Politics market cover
Politics
Live

Will Emmanuel Macron resign before end of 2026?

65% YES
65% Yes35% No
60 positions171d 15h 54m
Politics market cover
Politics
Live

Will Elon Musk leave a US government role before 2027?

34% YES
34% Yes66% No
110 positions171d 15h 54m
Sports market cover
Sports
Live

Will Novak Djokovic win another Grand Slam in 2026?

30% YES
30% Yes70% No
33 positions171d 15h 54m
Sports market cover
Sports
Live

Will Jon Jones vs. Tom Aspinall fight happen in 2026?

49% YES
49% Yes51% No
72 positions171d 15h 54m
Science market cover
Science
Live

Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before end of 2026?

61% YES
61% Yes39% No
28 positions171d 15h 54m
Science market cover
Science
Live

Will AGI be declared by any major lab before 2027?

56% YES
56% Yes44% No
107 positions171d 15h 54m
Finance market cover
Finance
Live

Will the US Federal Reserve cut rates 3+ times in 2026?

62% YES
62% Yes38% No
85 positions171d 15h 54m
Finance market cover
Finance
Live

Will US inflation fall below 2% by Q4 2026?

68% YES
68% Yes32% No
71 positions171d 15h 54m
Finance market cover
Finance
Live

Will gold hit $4,000/oz in 2026?

65% YES
65% Yes35% No
104 positions171d 15h 54m
Other market cover
Other
Live

Will GTA VI be released before end of 2026?

49% YES
49% Yes51% No
75 positions171d 15h 54m
Other market cover
Other
Live

Will Taylor Swift announce a 2027 world tour?

51% YES
51% Yes49% No
118 positions171d 15h 54m
Sports market cover
Sports
Live

Will Formula 1 have a new World Champion in 2026?

60% YES
60% Yes40% No
109 positions140d 15h 54m
Other market cover
Other
Live

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone at the Sep 2026 event?

68% YES
68% Yes32% No
102 positions79d 15h 54m
Crypto market cover
Crypto
Live

Will Bitcoin dominance fall below 40% by Sep 30, 2026?

68% YES
68% Yes32% No
59 positions79d 15h 54m
Crypto market cover
Crypto
Live

Will a spot ETH ETF see $1B daily inflow in 2026?

41% YES
41% Yes59% No
72 positions79d 15h 54m
Sports market cover
Sports
Live

Will Real Madrid win the 2026 UEFA Champions League?

31% YES
31% Yes69% No
97 positions50d 15h 54m
Science market cover
Science
Live

Will SpaceX complete a crewed Starship orbital flight by Aug 31, 2026?

28% YES
28% Yes72% No
64 positions49d 15h 54m
Crypto market cover
Crypto
Live

Will ETH close above $5,000 on August 31, 2026?

57% YES
57% Yes43% No
113 positions49d 15h 54m
FinanceUMA
Live

Will the US 10-year Treasury yield close below 4% on Aug 31, 2026?

54% YES
54% Yes46% No
41 positions49d 15h 54m
Finance market cover
Finance
Live

Will the Fed cut rates at the July 30, 2026 FOMC meeting?

71% YES
71% Yes29% No
85 positions18d 15h 54m
OtherUMA
Live

Will OpenAI announce a new flagship model before July 31, 2026?

69% YES
69% Yes31% No
79 positions18d 15h 54m
Sports market cover
Sports
Live

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup be won by Brazil?

31% YES
31% Yes69% No
31 positions6d 15h 54m
Crypto market cover
Crypto
Live

Will ETH/BTC ratio close above 0.06 on July 15, 2026?

39% YES
39% Yes61% No
50 positions2d 15h 54m
Crypto market cover
Crypto
Live

Will BTC close above $150,000 on June 30, 2026?

70% YES
70% Yes30% No
106 positionsClosed
CryptoUMA
Live

Will Bitcoin close above $110,000 on June 30, 2026?

71% YES
71% Yes29% No
118 positionsClosed