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Markets
Public odds, private positions. Take a side — your stake stays yours.
Total volume
$1,448,694
Open now
42
Encrypted positions
3,191
Ending soon
New markets
All markets

Politics
Live
Will the UK rejoin the EU single market by 2028?
35% YES
35% Yes65% No
88 positions536d 15h 55m

Science
Live
Will a human-rated commercial space station be operational by 2028?
28% YES
28% Yes72% No
82 positions536d 15h 55m

Politics
Live
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
73% YES
73% Yes27% No
75 positions536d 15h 54m

Sports
Live
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026-27 NBA Championship?
48% YES
48% Yes52% No
54 positions352d 15h 54m

Science
Live
Will Apple release an AI chip beating Nvidia H100 performance by 2027?
50% YES
50% Yes50% No
104 positions352d 15h 54m

Sports
Live
Will Manchester City win the 2026/27 Premier League title?
40% YES
40% Yes60% No
79 positions322d 15h 54m

Crypto
Live
Will a major central bank hold Bitcoin on its balance sheet by 2027?
43% YES
43% Yes57% No
25 positions202d 15h 54m

Crypto
Live
Will a spot SOL ETF be approved in the US by December 31, 2026?
30% YES
30% Yes70% No
47 positions171d 15h 54m

Crypto
Live
Will Bitcoin hit $150,000 before 2027?
42% YES
42% Yes58% No
92 positions171d 15h 54m

Crypto
Live
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 in 2026?
29% YES
29% Yes71% No
25 positions171d 15h 54m

Crypto
Live
Will Solana flip Ethereum by market cap in 2026?
30% YES
30% Yes70% No
101 positions171d 15h 54m

Crypto
Live
Will Bitcoin dominance drop below 40% in 2026?
40% YES
40% Yes60% No
94 positions171d 15h 54m

Crypto
Live
Will Coinbase be listed on the S&P 500 by end of 2026?
52% YES
52% Yes48% No
88 positions171d 15h 54m

Crypto
Live
Will the total crypto market cap exceed $10 trillion in 2026?
31% YES
31% Yes69% No
45 positions171d 15h 54m

Politics
Live
Will Donald Trump be impeached before 2027?
65% YES
65% Yes35% No
37 positions171d 15h 54m

Politics
Live
Will the US-Iran nuclear deal be signed by end of 2026?
42% YES
42% Yes58% No
105 positions171d 15h 54m

Politics
Live
Will there be a US federal government shutdown in 2026?
47% YES
47% Yes53% No
61 positions171d 15h 54m

Politics
Live
Will Emmanuel Macron resign before end of 2026?
65% YES
65% Yes35% No
60 positions171d 15h 54m

Politics
Live
Will Elon Musk leave a US government role before 2027?
34% YES
34% Yes66% No
110 positions171d 15h 54m

Sports
Live
Will Novak Djokovic win another Grand Slam in 2026?
30% YES
30% Yes70% No
33 positions171d 15h 54m

Sports
Live
Will Jon Jones vs. Tom Aspinall fight happen in 2026?
49% YES
49% Yes51% No
72 positions171d 15h 54m

Science
Live
Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before end of 2026?
61% YES
61% Yes39% No
28 positions171d 15h 54m

Science
Live
Will AGI be declared by any major lab before 2027?
56% YES
56% Yes44% No
107 positions171d 15h 54m

Finance
Live
Will the US Federal Reserve cut rates 3+ times in 2026?
62% YES
62% Yes38% No
85 positions171d 15h 54m

Finance
Live
Will US inflation fall below 2% by Q4 2026?
68% YES
68% Yes32% No
71 positions171d 15h 54m

Finance
Live
Will gold hit $4,000/oz in 2026?
65% YES
65% Yes35% No
104 positions171d 15h 54m

Other
Live
Will GTA VI be released before end of 2026?
49% YES
49% Yes51% No
75 positions171d 15h 54m

Other
Live
Will Taylor Swift announce a 2027 world tour?
51% YES
51% Yes49% No
118 positions171d 15h 54m

Sports
Live
Will Formula 1 have a new World Champion in 2026?
60% YES
60% Yes40% No
109 positions140d 15h 54m

Other
Live
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone at the Sep 2026 event?
68% YES
68% Yes32% No
102 positions79d 15h 54m

Crypto
Live
Will Bitcoin dominance fall below 40% by Sep 30, 2026?
68% YES
68% Yes32% No
59 positions79d 15h 54m

Crypto
Live
Will a spot ETH ETF see $1B daily inflow in 2026?
41% YES
41% Yes59% No
72 positions79d 15h 54m

Sports
Live
Will Real Madrid win the 2026 UEFA Champions League?
31% YES
31% Yes69% No
97 positions50d 15h 54m

Science
Live
Will SpaceX complete a crewed Starship orbital flight by Aug 31, 2026?
28% YES
28% Yes72% No
64 positions49d 15h 54m

Crypto
Live
Will ETH close above $5,000 on August 31, 2026?
57% YES
57% Yes43% No
113 positions49d 15h 54m
FinanceUMA
Live
Will the US 10-year Treasury yield close below 4% on Aug 31, 2026?
54% YES
54% Yes46% No
41 positions49d 15h 54m

Finance
Live
Will the Fed cut rates at the July 30, 2026 FOMC meeting?
71% YES
71% Yes29% No
85 positions18d 15h 54m
OtherUMA
Live
Will OpenAI announce a new flagship model before July 31, 2026?
69% YES
69% Yes31% No
79 positions18d 15h 54m

Sports
Live
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup be won by Brazil?
31% YES
31% Yes69% No
31 positions6d 15h 54m

Crypto
Live
Will ETH/BTC ratio close above 0.06 on July 15, 2026?
39% YES
39% Yes61% No
50 positions2d 15h 54m

Crypto
Live
Will BTC close above $150,000 on June 30, 2026?
70% YES
70% Yes30% No
106 positionsClosed
CryptoUMA
Live
Will Bitcoin close above $110,000 on June 30, 2026?
71% YES
71% Yes29% No
118 positionsClosed