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UMA-resolved118 encrypted positions

Will Bitcoin close above $110,000 on June 30, 2026?

Implied probability
71%YES
Closes in
Closed
71% Yes29% No
Total volume$40,622

These are the market's public odds — the price the crowd is setting in real time. Every individual position behind them stays encrypted on-chain, so no one can see who bet what.

Prediction flow
Indicative
Prediction momentum over time. Individual positions stay private.
Trending up118 positions
Recent activity
0 positions · all anonymous
No predictions yet — be the first to take a position.
Resolution & rules

Resolves YES if the daily close on Coinbase BTC-USD on 2026-06-30 (00:00 UTC settlement) is strictly greater than $110,000. Resolved via UMA Optimistic Oracle V3 — anyone can assert the outcome after the deadline by posting a bond.

Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 11:59 PM
Settlement
Pro-rata payout
Winners split the entire pool, pro-rata to their stake.
Losing positions receive nothing.
If unresolved 7 days after close, the market voids and everyone is refunded.
All positions stay encrypted until the market settles.
Confidentiality enforced on-chain by Zama — privacy by protocol, not by promise.
This market has closed — predictions are no longer accepted.

Resolved via UMA Optimistic Oracle V3

Real OOV3 on Sepolia — no trusted oracle key

Market closed. Assert the outcome by posting a bond — permissionless, and economically secured: a false assertion can be disputed and the bond slashed.

Bond required: $0.00 USDC