Will US inflation fall below 2% by Q4 2026?

Implied probability

68%YES

Closes in

171d 14h 38m

68% Yes32% No

Total volume$22,043

These are the market's public odds — the price the crowd is setting in real time. Every individual position behind them stays encrypted on-chain, so no one can see who bet what.

Prediction flow

Indicative

Prediction momentum over time. Individual positions stay private.

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Resolution & rules

Resolves YES if the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reports a year-over-year CPI headline rate below 2.0% for any month in Q4 2026 (October, November, or December).

Closes

Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM

Settlement

Pro-rata payout

Winners split the entire pool, pro-rata to their stake.

Losing positions receive nothing.

If unresolved 7 days after close, the market voids and everyone is refunded.

All positions stay encrypted until the market settles.

Confidentiality enforced on-chain by Zama — privacy by protocol, not by promise.

Take a position

Encrypted on-chain

Confidential balance$0.00 USDC

Amount

$USDC

To win (at 68% implied)≈ $36.76

Your position stays encrypted end to end. Amount and side are sealed before leaving your device — the contract operates on ciphertext only. No node, indexer, or oracle can read your position. Only your wallet can decrypt it.

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