Will Coinbase be listed on the S&P 500 by end of 2026?

Implied probability

52%YES

Closes in

171d 14h 37m

52% Yes48% No

Total volume$32,428

These are the market's public odds — the price the crowd is setting in real time. Every individual position behind them stays encrypted on-chain, so no one can see who bet what.

Prediction flow

Indicative

Prediction momentum over time. Individual positions stay private.

Trending up88 positions

Recent activity

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Resolution & rules

Resolves YES if COIN is added to the S&P 500 index (announced and effective) on or before December 31, 2026.

Closes

Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM

Settlement

Pro-rata payout

Winners split the entire pool, pro-rata to their stake.

Losing positions receive nothing.

If unresolved 7 days after close, the market voids and everyone is refunded.

All positions stay encrypted until the market settles.

Confidentiality enforced on-chain by Zama — privacy by protocol, not by promise.

Take a position

Encrypted on-chain

Confidential balance$0.00 USDC

Amount

$USDC

To win (at 52% implied)≈ $48.07

Your position stays encrypted end to end. Amount and side are sealed before leaving your device — the contract operates on ciphertext only. No node, indexer, or oracle can read your position. Only your wallet can decrypt it.

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