Will the UK rejoin the EU single market by 2028?

Implied probability

35%YES

Closes in

536d 14h 41m

35% Yes65% No

Total volume$44,191

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Resolution & rules

Resolves YES if the United Kingdom formally rejoins the European Union single market (including freedom of movement of goods and services) before January 1, 2028.

Closes

Jan 1, 2028, 12:00 AM

Settlement

Pro-rata payout

Winners split the entire pool, pro-rata to their stake.

Losing positions receive nothing.

If unresolved 7 days after close, the market voids and everyone is refunded.

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Encrypted on-chain

Confidential balance$0.00 USDC

Amount

$USDC

To win (at 35% implied)≈ $71.42

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