Will Apple release an AI chip beating Nvidia H100 performance by 2027?

Implied probability

50%YES

Closes in

352d 14h 38m

50% Yes50% No

Total volume$42,363

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Resolution & rules

Resolves YES if Apple announces and ships a chip achieving higher performance than the Nvidia H100 on a standard AI benchmark (MLPerf or equivalent) before July 1, 2027.

Closes

Jun 30, 2027, 11:59 PM

Settlement

Pro-rata payout

Winners split the entire pool, pro-rata to their stake.

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If unresolved 7 days after close, the market voids and everyone is refunded.

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Confidential balance$0.00 USDC

Amount

$USDC

To win (at 50% implied)≈ $50.00

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