TruthMarket
All markets
Crypto
Live
101 encrypted positions

Will Solana flip Ethereum by market cap in 2026?

Implied probability
30%YES
Closes in
171d 14h 37m
30% Yes70% No
Total volume$42,781

These are the market's public odds — the price the crowd is setting in real time. Every individual position behind them stays encrypted on-chain, so no one can see who bet what.

Prediction flow
Indicative
Prediction momentum over time. Individual positions stay private.
Trending up101 positions
Recent activity
0 positions · all anonymous
No predictions yet — be the first to take a position.
Resolution & rules

Resolves YES if CoinGecko-reported SOL market cap exceeds ETH market cap on any day before December 31, 2026.

Closes
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM
Settlement
Pro-rata payout
Winners split the entire pool, pro-rata to their stake.
Losing positions receive nothing.
If unresolved 7 days after close, the market voids and everyone is refunded.
All positions stay encrypted until the market settles.
Confidentiality enforced on-chain by Zama — privacy by protocol, not by promise.

Take a position

Encrypted on-chain
Confidential balance$0.00 USDC
$USDC
To win (at 30% implied)≈ $83.33
Your position stays encrypted end to end. Amount and side are sealed before leaving your device — the contract operates on ciphertext only. No node, indexer, or oracle can read your position. Only your wallet can decrypt it.

Encryption layer warming up…